I don’t have a prediction.
Scalia has demonstrated that he has no respect for the constitution, and he’s a RW/GOP hack, but protecting insurance companies is a RW cause, so who knows how he and the other 3 RW judges will rule? Lord knows, protecting corporate profits rules Alito’s world. IMO, Alito’s the worst judge of the 20th and 21st centuries, although Thomas certainly gives him a run for the money. Roberts is another RW hack, but he shows occasional flashes of sanity and objectivity, so his vote on the mandate is a mystery, to me.
I think Kagan, Sotomayor, Ginsburg, and Breyer will uphold the constitution, but I’m not sure what that means in terms of the individual mandate. They’ll uphold the rest of the law, but maybe not the mandate.
Which, as usual, leaves Kennedy making the decision. Probably. Like I said, I don’t really have a prediction. If I absolutely had to guess, and I don’t, I’d bet on Scalia upholding the mandate but nothing else, with Alito and Thomas joining him. That was sort of tongue in cheek, but I have to believe it’s crossed their foul minds.
OK, if I have to guess, I’m betting the mandate will fall, but “severability” will allow the rest of the law to remain. Probably 5-4 on the mandate, and 7-3 on “severability”. Alito, Thomas, and Scalia are just politically motivated hacks at this point, and they’ll rule to overturn the whole thing. Roberts will join along with Kennedy and “the liberals” on maintaining the rest of the law.
But that’s not why I’m posting. Check this out;
While the White House, Congressional Republicans and Mitt Romney’s Presidential Campaign have probably worked out how they are going to react to the Supreme Court ruling, expected tomorrow, on President Obama’s health care law, the House Progressive Caucus is preparing themselves as well. According to Progressive Caucus c-chair Representative Keith Ellison, they are going to start pushing a single-payer system they are going to term “Medicare For All”.
In an interview with The Huffington Post Ellison said that a single-payer, publicly funded and administered program is the easiest and cheapest way to cover all Americans. He also said that all 75 members of the Progressive Caucus had signed onto the plan.
I’m going to repeat this ad nauseum (the beatings will continue until morale improves); there are NO progressive Republicans. There IS a difference between the two parties.